
SUMMARY: Why did Joe Biden withdraw from the presidential race now? There were several reasons, not the least of which was his desire to help the party settle on a consensus candidate in time for the virtual roll call vote to allow legal ballot access in Ohio. He recognized that the #BidenSoOld movement had so damaged his candidacy that it was no longer tenable, yet hadn’t developed a plausible way to replace him in time for the Ohio ballot and could also miss the Michigan ballot. He put the country before his personal ambitions and emotions and LED the #BidenSoOld folks to their desired goal. AOC gives a major assist in her viral Instagram video outlining the problems with the #BidenSoOld mishegas and how they can be resolved. Overall, there is a detailed analysis of the circumstances surrounding Biden’s exit and an emphasis on the need for unity and action in preparing for the upcoming election.
KEY WORDS: Joe Biden, Election 2024, AOC, Instagram video, Political analysis, Kamala Harris, Democratic Party, Democratic National Convention, #BidenSoOld, Political Genius
COMMENTS: What do you think of Biden’s withdrawal from the race? What motivated him to do it? What effect will it have on Election 2024?
TABLE OF CONTENTS:
Follow the links to go to the parts of the post you find most interesting.
Even though I anticipated it, and even thought to myself that it would be today, it still hit me like a ton of bricks. I sit crying into my morning coffee as I let the news wash over me and sink in. However, I realize quite quickly that with 106 days to the election, there is no time for grief for Biden’s unjust and unfair drubbing from the election.
He saved us and our economy from the #COVID19 debacle that the Felonious Rapist Traitor had created. He has effectively gotten us on the road to carbon neutrality to limit the damage of climate change. He has brought industry and good paying jobs back to America. Yet, we can’t look past his age and the Constitutional remedies for a president who can no longer fulfill his duties. We are taking the candidacy of a convicted felon, adjudicated rapist, a serial bankruptcy abuser, pathological liar instead. I will never get over this moment of disappointment in the American character. Never. Cheezuz served up on a Ritz “That’s a good cracker ;)” cracker.
The AOC Instagram Video
As soon as I heard the news, though, my mind turned to the AOC Instagram video that had been making the rounds (#Spoiler, #Pro-tip: Don’t watch it, unless you enjoy about 50 minutes of, “I’m going to say this but I don’t mean to insult anyone and if you don’t agree with what I’m going to say, that’s okay…” and other hemming and hawing and caveating and pre-contexutalizing that had me tearing my clothes and scraping my boils with broken shards of pottery and shouting, “Jesus, just say it already!” at my computer and frightening the family, small animals, and the children swimming in the apartment pool.)
Biden’s withdrawal also ruins, and that’s the real sin here, isn’t it? two blog posts that I had been working hard on yesterday. First is one outlining AOC’s points, so you don’t have to watch the excruciating video that nearly convinced me that Biden would stick it out. That one, at least, is salvageable, and has morphed into this one. And, the second was a Call Your Members of Congress post urging you to call your MoC to publicly and vigorously voice their support for Biden. That one is no longer necessary. It looks like everyone is going to rally around Harris.
Sussing Out the Reasons Biden Quit Using AOC’s points
Why did Biden quit? Politico reports that the Biden campaign’s polling said that there was no current route to victory in November. That’s a lot like looking at a map in July for a trip you’re planning in November and noticing that there is road construction on the route. The question isn’t can I drive there today, the question is, will it be done by November? After all, in 2016 Trump’s numbers were so bad that his victory in November caught everyone, even him, by surprise.
I think they missed something there. I’ll go over the valid and compelling points that AOC makes and map them onto my projection of Biden’s personality and integrity. I say my projection because, obviously, I don’t really know the man, so it is all my conjecture. Here’s what she had to say:
Everyone Wants to Beat Trump
Well, no duh, but it is a point of common ground that we should all keep in mind. It is the panic and fear that Biden couldn’t beat Trump a second time around despite all of the consequential repairing of Trump’s damage to America and the world that Biden has accomplished that drove the #BidenSoOld calls for him to withdraw.
Common ground is important because it gives us a starting point for understanding the other side and developing a dialogue. This was going to be a major point in the call you MoC post that is now irrelevant. Thanks, Biden! Couldn’t you have waited until next week and let me get that post published? Would it have killed you to have thought of the struggling full-time citizen, part-time blogger in making your announcement? Hunh? Would it?
The point being that no matter what happens, we now come together to back the candidate that emerges from the convention. Updated to Biden’s withdrawal before the convention — Biden would’ve most assuredly won the nomination on the first ballot, BTW FWIW — and endorsement of Harris, we now have to rally to Harris. There can be no infighting over who the new candidate should be. There is no time to go through a process of a mini-primary or convention debate or whatever might happen.
There is NO Plan for Who or How
She confirmed what Ye Olde Blogge and others have been saying since this mishegas started. There was no clear plan or even a realistic path to select an alternative candidate and no consensus on who it should be. In fact, she pointed out that many from the donor-class — God the caveating around that explanation nearly killed me — don’t want the candidate to be Harris.
Part of the entire problem with #BidenSoOld was who should take up the mantle if not Biden. A year ago, this was a fight worth having. Now, it is just suicide.
There is no safe option
In electoral politics, there is no guarantee. No candidate the Democrats put forward has any guarantee to beat Trump. The only thing driving #BidenSoOld was the ASSumption that Biden was a sure loss and so taking a big chance was necessary.
This point is worsened by there being no consensus alternative. If there was going to be some fight or debate about who the candidate would be, it would just damage the eventual candidate more. That’s what happens in contested primaries and is part of the incumbency effect.
It is what the #BidenSoOld campaign did to Biden. It damaged him as a candidate and made it harder to win. If he had stuck it out, he would’ve won the nomination at the convention on the first ballot, but the damage was already done.
The Complexity of timing
Why the Democrats scheduled their convention for mid to late August AFTER the legal requirement of having a candidate nominated to get on the ballot in Ohio, is beyond me. I don’t know how this timing compares with conventions past — It seems pretty much in line with them, but I don’t know and I’m not going to run down that information. If you know, let us know in the comments, please. If anything the Republican convention seemed early.
However, it the timing of the convention put ballot access in jeopardy in two states: Ohio and Michigan. Even though Ohio passed some legislation that makes it seem okay, AOC points out that there is legal ambiguity there. Part of the plan to gain access to the Ohio ballot was to have a virtual roll-call vote by the state delegates. How could they have an open convention floor fight for an alternative nominee under those circumstances and still make it on the Ohio ballot? They couldn’t.
And, while the convention was scheduled to end before the legal requirements to access the Michigan ballot, if the delegate voting drug on past the scheduled end, which it could if there were no consensus candidate, then we might not have made it onto the Michigan ballot and had to rely on a write-in campaign.
They had two states in jeopardy right off the bat, and you know the Republican legal “geniuses” would find a way to put Rudy Giuliani in charge of litigating Democratic ballot access in other battleground states.
Republican Court Challenges to the Nomination
She also noted something that I was not aware of. Speaker Jeebus Johnson has said that the Republicans would challenge ballot access in the courts regardless of how the Democratic convention went and who the nominee is. This would throw the ballot access decision to the corrupt and openly partisan Robert’s Court — It was the Supreme Court in 2016 and we blew it then and we’re paying for it now. You want to roll them bones? Do you?
Regardless of how the Supreme Court would rule on any challenge, it would just create more chaos and confusion that would benefit Trump.
Serious Contenders Don’t Want the Nomination this Way
The last point I’ll summarize of hers is that no one who actually thinks they could become president wants to get the nomination in this manner. Whoever it is that ends up with the nomination starts out way behind. And, with early voting starting in late September, it gives them a month… a fucking month… to make their point about why they’re better than Trump. No one wants that.
I had wondered why the Gavin Newsoms and Gretchen Whitmers of the party hadn’t stepped forward and said, “Well, gosh, if it helps, I’ll be the candidate.” You know if this were happening in the Republican Party, everybody from the Florida GOP chair, Christian Ziegler, and his wife, Moms for Liberty co-founder, Bridget Ziegler, to Maddog Greene and Boobert would be trying for it.
I think it reflects how seriously the Democrats take democracy and governing and how irreverent the Republicans do. But, that’s just me and my conjecture. What’s yours?
Joe Biden’s Political Genius and Patriotism
I’ve long contended that Biden does not have president’s disease. That’s the condition in which once a person has convinced themselves they could be president and maybe tried to be president but lost, they cannot give up the ambition and will continue to try even past the point maintaining any dignity.
I think once Obama recommended Clinton over Biden in 2016, he reconciled himself to his presidential ambitions being over. The neo-Nazi march in Charleston really did spark in him the realization that Trump couldn’t have another term. The 2020 weak field of candidates, which included the quick flame-out of Harris’ campaign, just confirmed it.
The pros and Cons of a Kamala Harris Candidacy
I also think that had Harris proven herself to be a capable administrator during her vice presidency, Biden would’ve declined to run and handed the reins to her. Luckily for her and all of us, she inherits Biden’s campaign and cash. She’ll want to be setting up some of her own campaign infrastructure, but there is no time to do it all. She’s got to lean heavily on Biden’s organization.
Also, she’s the only candidate that can legally inherit his campaign money. He could give it to the national Democratic Party to re-distribute to candidates, but he couldn’t give it to anyone else.
Biden’s Sacrifice
His campaign aides presented him with evidence that currently, he had no viable path to victory and that his campaign donations, even from small dollar donations, were in free fall. Couple that with the difficulties of trying to find a replacement at the DNC, and Biden realized that this half-assed attempt to get him off the ticket was just viable enough to ensure that he or anyone else would be crippled in race.
If he was to stem the bleeding from where the #BidenSoOld folks had shot him in his gonads, it was going to be withdrawing BEFORE the convention and endorsing Harris. Any other course of action was to leave the convention open to a disastrous fight.
The #BidenSoOld folks had no plan to replace Biden that would actually get them on the ballot in all fifty states. They had no plan for who would replace Biden. They just had this idea that he couldn’t win, which was debatable at best. And, by 21 July, they had damaged his candidacy enough to make it very likely that he couldn’t recover.
Ironically, that made it Biden’s duty to lead the movement against him and make a decision that would ensure the Democratic candidate would be in the best position to win in November. What a fucked up thing to do to someone. They pushed a gun across the table and told him he had to do it for the good of the country because they couldn’t bring themselves to do it for him.
The contagion of Trump’s narcissistic delusional world has truly infected the entire country. To rid ourselves of it, we have to defeat him in November. The only choice left to us — remember mental health comes from having choices — is to rally around Harris and get the fucking vote the fuck out starting in September!

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Thanks for the mention of Ohio’s and Michigan’s ballot deadlines.
Flouting those with the DNC convention was beyond dumb (and possibly more evidence of moles in the party) and I really have no idea how the party will fix this. We already know that the repubs will do anything they can to sabotage.
After all, isn’t that the American way? Nominate the best candidates and then attempt to torch the other side with dirty tricks?
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Howdy M!
I’m not sure when the dates for the DNC were set and the deadline for ballot access in Ohio was set, but I can’t imagine that Ohio changed its law after the DNC set its calendar. Might’ve, though. If not, some lawyer with the DNC dropped the ball.
The virtual roll call placing Harris’ name in nomination should satisfy the law. How the parties select their candidates is done by the rules of a private, not public, organization and not a matter of law. Expect the GOP to litigate, anyway, an at least one MAGA judge to rule in their favor necessitating an appeal, though.
However, with the Ohio constitutional abortion amendment vote reassures that Harris could pull a win even with a write-in campaign vis-a-vis Murkowski in Alaska.
The next stage from Hitler’s Propaganda Playbook that the GOP is following is blame your opponent for everything. They are going to be rolling out the character assassination talking points and ads pretty quickly. I’m sure someone is working no the articles of impeachment right now just in case she actually wins in November.
Huzzah!
Jack
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Timing was perfect. The RNC had its entire convention running against a candidate that isn’t even running. What a masterstroke of politics. Now the trump team has to start over again against a young vibrant candidate who is up to the job, way more than trump.
She’s gonna wash the floor with that nasty old rag of a fat fuck. I’m looking forward to this.
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They’ve taken whatever bounce Trump might’ve gotten for their march to Nuremberg convention. It is completely knocked out of the news cycle and most of our memories for good and bad. The debate is also history. The match up that no body wanted is gone.
Harris has to get onto the air to define herself because the GOP has already started their character assassination campaign.
I hope so. I remember her presidential campaign didn’t quite live up to the hype, so while I’m hopeful, I’m not jublient.
Jack
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It wasn’t a presidential campaign. It was a primary campaign. This is different, the stakes are different.
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It’s much bigger, much more complex, and much higher stakes. Hopefully, she’s learned and grown in the past four or so years as VP.
Jack
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But it’s also much more focused. & she’s got a really good target ~ the kind of felon she used to prosecute.
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She inherits a good organization. Biden had seasoned people, veterans from his 2020 and the Obama campaigns. They put together a solid campaign and she’s keeping it, so there’s that. She is a bright person, I’m sure she learned a lot from the 2020 campaign and has been preparing for the 2024 campaign and thinking about a 2028 campaign.
I have a bit more confidence or hope in her ability to prosecute a national campaign.
Jack
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Jack, I’m afraid that the same pressures that have brought Joe Biden to take this action are now driving against a quick decision with the virtual roll call, and to the “open” convention, leaving questions of who the ultimate nominees for President and Vice President will be, but the transfer or return to the donors of the Biden/Harris Campaign Fund, and even who is or isn’t running all up in the air. That’s like candy (cocaine?) for the news media and the endlessly pundiding pundits, but potentially suicidal for the Democratic Party (including much of the down ballot).
On the Ohio filing date and fix issue, a suit to invalidate a late filing does not need to get a decision in order to keep the candidate off the ballot. All they would need is a MAGA judge who accepts the case, issues an injunction staying the filing until hearing the case, and then the losing side in the ruling would have to appeal. By then, the ballots will have gone to the printers with no names of Democrats in the P and VP boxes.
Time is of the essence now. Not time measured in months or weeks, but days.
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I’ve been outa the loop over here twelve hours ahead of y’all, but from what I can see on the news websites, Harris is picking up state délégation pledges, endorsements, and donations from big and small donors at a fairly quick pace.
No one has challenged her for the nomination. I heard a report that Manchin might, but I imagine in Dem Party, he’s a dead man walking.
Barring a major challenge, she should secure the nomination this week. Newsom has endorsed her and Whitmer has said she won’t seek the nomination. No word yet from Michelle Obama, so I suppose a ticket with her and Oprah is still possible.
Are you hearing about any serious challenge to her?
Jack
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I see not serious, or even laughable, challenge yet. A number of the mentioned alternatives have endorsed Kamala. As for Joe Manchin, there are about 48 Democrat Senators who would gladly ride him out of town on a rail (tar and feathers, optional). The Obamas have been quite clear so far that they did their 8 years, and as popular as Michelle is, she has never held public office, elected or appointed. If A black man as president made white folks crazy, two black women … In some ways, Oprah might be as close in terms of a popular media figure the Dems could have to Trump.
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Howdy Bob!
AOC was right. No one with serious presidential ambitions wants to get the nomination under these circumstances. Anyone the Dems nominate now starts out seriously behind in the process, including Harris. She has the least deficit to over come, though, because she is the only one who can legally access Biden’s campaign apparatus and funding. Even then, I’ve seen a headline this morning predicting litigation over it. Not everyone is as noble as Biden is, especially when there’s hundreds of millions of dollars on the line.
Now we cue the character assassination squad of the Republican campaign arsenal. I hope she can get herself out there quickly enough to define herself before they can define her.
Huzzah!
Jack
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The headline this morning on NPR is that Harris has pledged delegates more than needed to win the nomination and the virtual roll call vote will happen in time. I also realized that none of the litigation concerns about changing candidates apply. Biden had won the primaries and was the presumptive nominee, but the delegates had not yet voted and made him the official nominee. So, no change of official candidate has take place and all candidate filings have yet to happen.
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Yeah. The nominee isn’t set until after the convention. There are filing deadlines in each state. I don’t know the grounds they would litigate on, but that’s never stopped them before.
I read earlier today that they will do the virtual roll call next week, so Harris has to make her VP choice by then. That’s pretty quick for vetting someone. Eric Holder is going to head the vetting team. Her choice pretty much has to be a middle aged white guy. I’m kinda thinking NC Gov Cooper might be a good choice since NC has elected Dems statewide in the recent past. If he’s still popular, it could be enough to swing NC to the Dems. Otherwise, Pennsylvania’s governor Josh Shapiro seems like a good choice as does Senator Mark Kelly.
Huzzah!
Jack
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Cooper is good. He’s won twice and forged a reputation doing battle with our heavily gerrymandered legislature, and, term limited, he’s a lame duck at the state level. He is both level headed and can be combative when needed. He could help swing the state for Harris, and between them, maybe swing some otherwise un-swingable House and state districts. I don’t know Shapiro as well. Harris has a rather rich field of potential picks, both for VP and Appointments.
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Howdy Bob!
To me Cooper seems like the best candidate just for what he brings to the ticket and the White House. Shapiro is probably better known just because he was AG during all of the 2020 challenges to the Pennsylvania vote. And, Kelly, well, is Kelly. I think his reputation would lend gravitas to her.
The guessing game about the VP pick isn’t as appealing to me. But, the worry about what’s in the VP’s closet is. There isn’t much time to vet them. Luckily, being elected to high profile office in GOP strongholds or at least strongly contested places means that there has already been opposition research done and used against them.
Huzzah!
Jack
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The part about opposition research is significant in this age of disinformation.
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Wow ~ That headline looks like a headline!
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Thanks, man. Biden is an incredible human being. His decision was just an amazing act of self sacrifice.
Jack
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I have mixed feelings about it, but it is what it is and what’s important is to keep on keepin’ on. The goal, if only implied, has been to get the next generation into office, get rid of all us old guys (even we who fall on the young side). I hate to pass the buck but we’ve made a mess of things, it’s their world now and the sooner we give them the opportunity to start cleaning up the trash the better off they will be
Mea culpa: I’ve been so caught up in my surprise at Joe’s success I forgot why I voted for him in the first place ~ Kamala Harris …
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Howdy Ten Bears!
I was very disappointed and saddened by Biden’s withdrawal, but someone pointed out that Biden wrote the violence against women act, helped get Obama elected, held Trump to one term, and is now helping elect the first Black woman president. He has always led with his values and principles. Now, I’m grieving but am also in awe of how self assured and poised he is. He’s doing what few others could.
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Biden’s “age” is not the point of whether or not he should be on the Democratic ticket for, presidency, but how he may have the, progressive conditions of, Alzheimer’s, and, because he is, quite intelligent, he is still, able to, “hide” the symptoms, like those, inappropriate behaviors like how he’d behave with the wife of the, foreign country PM (or eas it the wife of a foreign president???)from awhile ago, or how he became, confused as to where he was, where he was going at the, debate podium and needed to get, led off stage by his wife or whatever, and, these inappropriate behaviors will only, increase with time, and, can you imagine, that a country’s president, grabbing someone inappropriately, in a, international scene? And, these behaviors will only, get worse, as his mind, slowly, deteriorates, while on the other side, there’s the, CONVICTED felon, who has, an, oversized EGO, a naricissist, running on the, Republican, ticket, so yeah, it will be, a LOSE-LOSE for Uncle Sam, come November this year!
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Howdy Taurus!
I feel like we end up saying the same things to each other over and over again. You say Biden is demented or has Alzheimer’s, I say there is no evidence of anything other than normal age-related cognitive decline.
Even if Biden did have one of the three diagnoses that the armchair doctors of the world have diagnosed him with, Parkinson’s, Alzheimer’s, or dementia, we still have the CONSTITUTION to deal with a president who is no longer able to fulfill the duties of their office. It’s not like we haven’t been in this situation before. It is now documented that Reagan had Alzheimer’s in his last two years in office. We’ve had multiple presidents temporarily incapacitate for medical reasons, like Reagan’s assassination attempt and other medical procedures.
So, even if Biden has some debilitating condition, electing him is not a LOSS. We have a lawful mechanism to remove him from office.
The media and many people around the world insist on portraying Trump as a viable candidate for the office, when he is not both for his mental health liabilities and his lack of moral character.
This should not be a question. There is no way Trump should EVER be considered a viable candidate, but because of for-profit journalism and the greed and corruption of the oligarchs in our country and their stooges in the GOP, he is.
The only way the US loses is if Trump or another anti-democratic oligarchic candidate wins office.
Huzzah!
Jack
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Howdy Ten Bears!
I can’t publish this. I hope you understand. I just don’t allow unfettered attacks against other commenters.
Jack
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And in the mean, your troll’s trolling is still there. That’s certainly something to think about
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I’ll déterminé what’s trolling and what’s not. We support and refute arguments, we don’t insult. That’s the principle I work from.
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