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Cognitive Biases and Polling: Navigating the Illusion of Certainty

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CalicoJack on Comment on This: Trump’s Yo-Yo Diplomacy with Iran is just Market Manipulation20 April, 2026
Howdy Bob! The situation is so dire that Vance seems like a rational adult. At best he is not beholden…
bobcabkings on Comment on This: Trump’s Yo-Yo Diplomacy with Iran is just Market Manipulation20 April, 2026
I'm suddenly thinking about feedback loops, in this case between Trump (mouth, mood, impulse, etc.), the equities markets, Iran, and…
CalicoJack on Comment on This: Trump’s Yo-Yo Diplomacy with Iran is just Market Manipulation20 April, 2026
Howdy Grouchy! I feel relatively certain that the predictive markets innovation is all Don-Don. He's on the boards of the…
CalicoJack on Comment on This: Trump’s Yo-Yo Diplomacy with Iran is just Market Manipulation20 April, 2026
Howdy Chuq! If there were away for him to profit off of aiding Ukraine, he'd be helping them. The offer…
CalicoJack on Comment on This: Trump’s Yo-Yo Diplomacy with Iran is just Market Manipulation20 April, 2026
Howdy Taurus! You can't quite say Trump is no bite. He limits his bites to what he thinks of as…