Probability – The Psy of Life

Tag: Probability

3 Posts

Why do we put so much stock in polling data? The results play havoc with our perceptions because of our cognitive biases and heuristics

Cognitive Psychology

Cognitive Biases and Polling: Navigating the Illusion of Certainty

2 November 2024 — 14 Comments

Cognitive Psychology

The Blue Tsunami and the Disappointing Result from Election 2020

27 December 2020 — 16 Comments

Behavior Economics, Probability

The Terrifying Danger of Trump’s Rhetoric

13 July 2016 — 8 Comments

Ye Olde Blogge

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STORIES I'M FOLLOWING & WRITING ABOUT

Trump's Narcissism 2.0
AI Uses & Implications
GAZA Illustrates Racism's Ultimate Goal
Fossil Fuels, Autocracies, and Corporations

STATUS UPDATE

Thursday 28 August
Winnipeg, Canada

Howdy y'all!

The house and the move has finally settled into a lower level of effort. My time is finally freed from some very urgent difficult tasks like assembling furniture and organizing and tracking deliveries.

Good news, La Petite Fille has been officially admitted to university, and we will be getting her registered for classes. They begin next week! But, major milestone in her life, reached. I couldn't be prouder, happier, or, quite honestly, more relieved.

I just published a post concerning how Trump et al. aren't dealing with reality. I'm thinking that it will be an on-going frequent column. The problem is what to call it. The Cray-Cray Watch? Has It Bitten Us in the Ass, Yet? I'm open to suggestions, though.

Blog On, Siblings!
Jack

Join the Discussion

lobotero on Understanding the Effect of Trump’s NARCISSISM on the Country and the World: The Narcissistic Wound19 December 2025
Exactly.....few paid attention and look what their ignorance has given this country. chuq
lobotero on Off the Editor’s Floor: Trump’s Atrocities, the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine, the Wiles Interview, the Speech, and the Growing Body Count19 December 2025
The US has been misusing the Monroe Doctrine for many years....it is an excuse to act in favor of profit......his…
ali redford on Understanding the Effect of Trump’s NARCISSISM on the Country and the World: The Narcissistic Wound19 December 2025
Trump AnD his cabinet/cabal/posse/gang. They even more than he, it seems. To me.
bobcabkings on Off the Editor’s Floor: Trump’s Atrocities, the Trump Corollary to the Monroe Doctrine, the Wiles Interview, the Speech, and the Growing Body Count19 December 2025
There's a piece today on Kos to that effect: https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2025/12/19/2359147/-It-s-looking-increasingly-like-no-Trump-Ballroom-will-ever-be-built?pm_campaign=front_page&pm_source=trending&pm_medium=web
bobcabkings on Understanding the Effect of Trump’s NARCISSISM on the Country and the World: The Narcissistic Wound19 December 2025
Yes. There may be some twisted kind of hope in the growing recognition among rank and file Republican incumbents that…