Category: Behavior Economics

What factors predicted the confusion around the changing and contradictory #COVID19 mask guidance?

Follow ALL of the Science: The Predictable Confusion of the Changing Mask Guidance Hurts #COVID19 Effort


Reading time: 5 minutes
With the CDC seeming to update their mask guidance every few months, it is no wonder that people are confused about whether or not, when, where to wear a mask. Now, that the Delta variant has arrived, the risks are even higher.

The Emotional Effect of Defund the Police on White Voters

Defund the Police and Emotional Decision Making


Reading time: 4 minutes
My original Defund the Police post generated a fair amount of discussion in the comments. I found myself repeating information about the affect heuristic a lot, so I thought I’d make it into a blog post. The affect heuristic proves that Defund the Police was a dumb slogan that was bound to drive white suburban women to vote Republican.

Risk Aversion: The Psychology of Biden and Warren’s Candidacies


Reading time: 3 minutes
Our perceptions of the risks that each candidacy poses determines a lot about them. Biden runs as Obama 2.0 the tried and true candidate of yore bringing back normalcy. The nostalgia candidate if you will. Warren runs as the big structural change candidate with a plan for everything.

Which are seen as posing the higher risk? How will that effect the way we vote?

Using Risk and Uncertainty to Handicapping Elections

Election 2020: Handicapping the Nomination: What do Risk and Uncertainty Tell Us?


Reading time: 5 minutes
Okay, it’s a bit long in the tooth, but it’s worth it to figure out whose gonna win, right? My predictions have a history of being accurate. Stop laughing. I’m serious.

Anywho, I go through and discuss each of the top four candidates chances using behavioral economics decision making under uncertainty, specifically focused on how people react to perceived risk. If there were ever a risk election, brother this would be it. This is a high risk election.

Fear of Change; Embracing Change

Trump vs. Obama: a new theory of why Republicans and Democrats fight – Vox


A re-blogging of an interview of March Hetherington by Exra Klein on Vox.com. They discuss Hetherington and Weiler’s theory that the political divide between Repubes and Dems is based on how each side views the world. The Repubes view the world as fundamentally dangerous, the Dems as safer. I add that makes Repubes risk averse and Dems risk tolerant. Let me know what you think in the comments.

The Three Psychological Tendencies that the GOP Cynically Exploited to Bolster Support for Kavanaugh and Demean Dr. Ford


There are three psychological phenomena from the Boof K (that’s Ye Olde Blogge’s quaint nickname for the raspcallious erstwhile (allegedly) plausible rapist, Brett Kavanaugh) hearings that will help us understand our particular peculiar political predicament and the way that politicians use them to manipulate the electorate and party […]

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