Polling – The Psy of Life

Tag: Polling

10 Posts

Why do we put so much stock in polling data? The results play havoc with our perceptions because of our cognitive biases and heuristics

Cognitive Psychology

Cognitive Biases and Polling: Navigating the Illusion of Certainty

2 November 2024 — 14 Comments

Can lies be used to guide the ship of state?

Behavior Economics

Election 2024: The Easier Question Heuristic Shapes the Choices of Undecided and Low-Propensity Voters

14 October 2024 — 3 Comments

How is it that statewide races favor Democrats by wide margins in Arizona and North Carolina, but Harris and Trump are essentially tied?

Election 2024: Accounting for the Wildly Differing Polls for Statewide Races versus the Presidential Race in Swing States

25 September 2024 — 41 Comments

What explains the Harris-Walz early and sustained campaign success?

Comment On This

Comment on This: Harris’ Meteoric Rise in the Polls

17 August 2024 — 32 Comments

What explains the difference in polling on social issues and the way people vote?

Political Psychology

The Great Civics Lesson: The Reason Polls Show Agreement on Social Issues but Office Holders Don’t

20 January 2024 — 22 Comments

How does status quo bias affect the election between Biden, Trump, a third party candidate, and not voting?

Cognitive Psychology

Election 2024: Understanding the Role of Status Quo Bias

26 December 2023 — 17 Comments

What evidence is there that Trump and Republicans are damaging our democratic culture?

Election 2024: The Undermining of our Democratic Culture by the Republican Party and Conservative Media

20 December 2023 — 36 Comments

What is the partisan breakdown of how confident in the 2022 vote?

Election 2022: How Confident are we in the Counting of the Vote?

12 January 2022 — 23 Comments

Why was Election 2020 so Disappointing?

Cognitive Psychology

The Blue Tsunami and the Disappointing Result from Election 2020

27 December 2020 — 16 Comments

Behavior Economics, Framing Effect, Loss Aversion, Prospect Theory

Getting the American People to Impeachment

29 September 2019 — 10 Comments

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STATUS UPDATE

Thursday 28 August
Winnipeg, Canada

Howdy y'all!

The house and the move has finally settled into a lower level of effort. My time is finally freed from some very urgent difficult tasks like assembling furniture and organizing and tracking deliveries.

Good news, La Petite Fille has been officially admitted to university, and we will be getting her registered for classes. They begin next week! But, major milestone in her life, reached. I couldn't be prouder, happier, or, quite honestly, more relieved.

I just published a post concerning how Trump et al. aren't dealing with reality. I'm thinking that it will be an on-going frequent column. The problem is what to call it. The Cray-Cray Watch? Has It Bitten Us in the Ass, Yet? I'm open to suggestions, though.

Blog On, Siblings!
Jack