Reading time: 5 minutes
Election 2022 is shaping up to be the most consequential election since 2020! Democrats fear the loss of rights and our very democracy. The stakes are quite high. For Republicans, they have only their old tropes to stir up fear and angst with. Which will turn out the base?
Reading time: 5 minutes
What will it take for white America to perceive the sure loss of our democracy and take the risk of voting against Republicans? I don’t know that the evidence the 6 Jan Committee is broadcasting is sufficient to overcome white America’s racial animus.
Reading time: 5 minutes
Okay, it’s a bit long in the tooth, but it’s worth it to figure out whose gonna win, right? My predictions have a history of being accurate. Stop laughing. I’m serious.
Anywho, I go through and discuss each of the top four candidates chances using behavioral economics decision making under uncertainty, specifically focused on how people react to perceived risk. If there were ever a risk election, brother this would be it. This is a high risk election.
How much does the “media narrative” affect the Democratic presidential primary? How do the things that the Ol’ Pussy Grabber saying about specific Democratic candidates, the candidates are saying about each other, or that the media is reporting about them? How can we resist these influences? Find out in this post.
Real live controlled psychological studies have demonstrated that angry reactions to accusations result in higher status being given to white men! Not so much to women and the not-whites (could be a band name, amirite?). What does that tell us about the Ol’ Pussy Grabber’s strategy for resisting Nancy Pelosi’s attempts to probe him?
We may not be able to predict who the Dem candidate for president will be, but can we predict the type of candidate? What does the danger and craziness of Trump do to the psyche of the electorate as we head into the 2020 election cycle?
A re-blogging of an interview of March Hetherington by Exra Klein on Vox.com. They discuss Hetherington and Weiler’s theory that the political divide between Repubes and Dems is based on how each side views the world. The Repubes view the world as fundamentally dangerous, the Dems as safer. I add that makes Repubes risk averse and Dems risk tolerant. Let me know what you think in the comments.
Trump has contaminated all of us in one way or another. Using the halo effect and other heuristics, I explain exactly the kind of contaminate that Trump is. And, there is a long snarky, sarcasticky, and profaney rant about Brock Turner.
How did Trump become a thing? Read about how Daniel Kahneman and risk assessment can be used to explain how Obama made Trump possible. Thanks Obama!
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"It is the duty of every man, as far as his ability extends, to detect and expose delusion and error"..Thomas Paine
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